College basketball best bets and projections
It was a monster Sunday if you tailed all of my bets that I gave out here on VSiN.com and on my X account (@TShoeIndex); we went 8-3, cashing our one NFL bet (Chiefs team total under 20.5) and sweeping men’s hoops (3-0) while turning in a profitable 4-3 day in women’s hoops. I hope to really keep that rolling, as we seem to hit our stride lately, likely as a result of the formula tweak I mentioned last week. For the college basketball season, we’re now 60-53-1 in men’s and 106-74 in women’s (all women’s best bets can be found on my X timeline).
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, January 29th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Prairie View | -8.8 | 149.1 |
| Alabama State | Texas Southern | -2.9 | 133.6 |
| Alcorn State | Bethune-Cookman | -5.2 | 152.0 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Grambling | -6.5 | 149.5 |
| Boston University | Holy Cross | 1.4 | 137.5 |
| Coppin State | Howard | -6.3 | 141.5 |
| Delaware State | North Carolina Central | -2.1 | 139.0 |
| Duke | Virginia Tech | 1.5 | 146.5 |
| Florida A&M | Jackson State | -4.2 | 150.6 |
| Houston | Texas | 9.8 | 134.4 |
| Houston Christian | Southeastern Louisiana | -1.1 | 142.5 |
| Lamar | New Orleans | 15.2 | 156.5 |
| Maryland-Eastern Shore | South Carolina State | 0.7 | 145.3 |
| McNeese State | Northwestern State | 20.5 | 143.2 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Southern | -23.3 | 137.1 |
| Morgan State | Norfolk State | -16.9 | 147.8 |
| Texas A&M-Commerce | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | -4.1 | 139.1 |
Bets:
Lamar -9
Coppin State/Howard Over 136.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Prairie View | 7.3 | 125.5 |
| Alabama State | Texas Southern | -16.5 | 123.8 |
| Alcorn State | Bethune-Cookman | -12.0 | 120.7 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Grambling | 4.4 | 150.0 |
| Auburn | Georgia | 17.2 | 123.0 |
| Boston University | Holy Cross | -15.5 | 122.4 |
| Coppin State | Howard | 0.4 | 121.3 |
| Delaware State | North Carolina Central | -11.6 | 142.8 |
| Florida A&M | Jackson State | -22.0 | 131.4 |
| Louisiana State | Mississippi State | 9.8 | 147.6 |
| Maryland-Eastern Shore | South Carolina State | 25.4 | 120.9 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Southern | -13.4 | 128.0 |
| Morgan State | Norfolk State | -30.0 | 126.1 |
