College basketball best bets and projections
After a sizzling 8-3 Sunday, we followed that up with a perfect 5-0 Monday, bringing us to 13-3 on all bets for the week! Obviously, streaks come and go, but it’s certainly fun while they’re here and we absolutely should enjoy it and try to stay the course and trust the process. With only a handful of women’s games today, I don’t expect much on that front, but make sure to follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to stay up to the minute with all women’s bets. On the men’s side, there’s a decent slate today so I will provide three best bets to whet the betting appetite.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, January 30th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Air Force | Wyoming | 0.9 | 139.8 |
| Akron | Eastern Michigan | 15.6 | 138.8 |
| Ball State | Bowling Green State | 2.4 | 145.8 |
| Boston College | Syracuse | 1.5 | 148.9 |
| Buffalo | Ohio | -21.0 | 147.2 |
| Central Michigan | Northern Illinois | 9.9 | 145.7 |
| Clemson | Louisville | 15.7 | 151.8 |
| Colorado State | San Diego State | 0.3 | 147.2 |
| Dayton | George Washington | 12.3 | 149.8 |
| DePaul | Seton Hall | -13.6 | 143.6 |
| Fresno State | Nevada-Las Vegas | -8.2 | 145.8 |
| Georgia Tech | North Carolina | -16.5 | 151.0 |
| Gonzaga | Loyola Marymount | 12.8 | 147.5 |
| Illinois | Ohio State | 6.3 | 148.5 |
| Illinois State | Murray State | -7.5 | 135.8 |
| Indiana | Iowa | -3.6 | 156.5 |
| Kansas | Oklahoma State | 16.2 | 144.2 |
| Kansas State | Oklahoma | 0.9 | 142.7 |
| Kent State | Miami (OH) | 5.4 | 149.2 |
| Lindenwood | Southeast Missouri State | 3.8 | 139.7 |
| Loyola (IL) | Saint Louis | 13.0 | 145.7 |
| Marquette | Villanova | -0.2 | 143.3 |
| Miami (FL) | NC State | 0.2 | 151.7 |
| Michigan | Michigan State | -12.8 | 148.5 |
| Mississippi | Mississippi State | 0.7 | 141.3 |
| San Jose State | Utah State | -16.4 | 149.5 |
| South Carolina | Tennessee | -11.0 | 138.3 |
| St. Bonaventure | Virginia Commonwealth | 2.9 | 139.4 |
| TCU | Texas Tech | 2.4 | 151.7 |
| Toledo | Western Michigan | 8.2 | 152.6 |
Bets:
North Carolina -8.5
Ohio -14.5
Central Michigan -3.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Canisius | Niagara | 1.1 | 136.8 |
| Central Florida | West Virginia | -16.7 | 131.6 |
| Cincinnati | Houston | -3.1 | 130.0 |
| Lindenwood | Southeast Missouri State | 0.0 | 132.6 |
| Michigan State | Rutgers | 16.7 | 143.6 |
