College basketball best bets and projections
We cashed our only bet of the day yesterday, with a comfortable “over” winner in Houston/Iowa State, moving us to 5-2 on our last seven men’s plays. Hopefully we can keep the momentum rolling into today with a couple dozen games on the slate for us to choose from. There are just a handful of women’s games today, so stay tuned (@TShoeIndex on X) as to whether or not we’ll have any action there.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, February 20th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Akron | Toledo | 1.2 | 151.8 |
| Arkansas | Texas A&M | -10.1 | 149.6 |
| Ball State | Northern Illinois | 2.2 | 147.1 |
| Baylor | Brigham Young | -4.9 | 159.5 |
| Boise State | San Jose State | 15.3 | 144.5 |
| Boston College | Florida State | -2.5 | 153.1 |
| Bowling Green State | Central Michigan | -2.3 | 140.2 |
| Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | 1.0 | 142.7 |
| Butler | Villanova | -4.1 | 148.1 |
| Central Florida | West Virginia | 7.3 | 141.3 |
| Connecticut | Creighton | 3.0 | 153.0 |
| Davidson | Fordham | 8.3 | 143.3 |
| Duquesne | Saint Louis | 11.5 | 148.4 |
| Iowa | Michigan State | -7.7 | 155.7 |
| Kent State | Ohio | -4.9 | 153.8 |
| Maryland | Wisconsin | -4.9 | 136.5 |
| Massachusetts | Virginia Commonwealth | 3.4 | 146.5 |
| Miami (OH) | Western Michigan | -0.4 | 139.5 |
| Missouri | Tennessee | -13.0 | 147.8 |
| Morehead State | Southern Indiana | 16.3 | 139.4 |
| NC State | Syracuse | 4.1 | 151.1 |
| Nevada | Wyoming | 13.8 | 146.6 |
| Pittsburgh | Wake Forest | -3.9 | 148.7 |
| Saint Mary’s (CA) | San Francisco | 7.0 | 138.4 |
| San Diego State | Utah State | -0.7 | 148.3 |
| TCU | Texas Tech | -2.2 | 153.3 |
Bets:
UConn/Creighton Over 144.5
Davidson/Fordham Over 136.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Chicago State | Eastern Kentucky | -20.6 | 140.9 |
| Cincinnati | Oklahoma | -10.2 | 135.8 |
| Georgetown | St. John’s (NY) | -0.3 | 111.4 |
| Marquette | Seton Hall | 10.6 | 128.4 |
| Memphis | Rice | -4.9 | 136.7 |
| Minnesota | Wisconsin | 13.2 | 125.7 |
| Morehead State | Southern Indiana | -3.4 | 131.6 |
| Nebraska | Northwestern | 23.2 | 142.7 |
