College basketball best bets and projections
Can you believe there were some people that bet on Alabama +3 this weekend as they got obliterated by Kentucky? It’s me, I’m some people. That was just an encapsulation of how my Saturday bets went, before taking Sunday off to spend time with my family. Even on my women’s bets, I just could not catch a break. But alas, I’m back on this Monday with a couple of men’s bets and we’ll see how the women’s lines look as they trickle out Monday afternoon, but they’ve been much sharper lately compared to earlier in the season.
Follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to get my women’s best bets as I make them.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, February 26th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Florida A&M | 0.2 | 146.6 |
| Alabama State | Bethune-Cookman | -2.7 | 138.0 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Texas Southern | -2.2 | 149.1 |
| Baylor | TCU | 2.5 | 159.6 |
| Campbell | UNC Wilmington | -7.9 | 145.2 |
| Coppin State | Howard | -15.0 | 139.7 |
| Delaware | Drexel | 0.0 | 139.6 |
| Delaware State | North Carolina Central | -4.8 | 138.7 |
| Houston Christian | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | -13.1 | 144.8 |
| Incarnate Word | Nicholls State | -8.1 | 147.4 |
| Kansas State | West Virginia | 9.7 | 142.1 |
| Lamar | McNeese State | -7.5 | 149.3 |
| Maryland-Eastern Shore | South Carolina State | -5.8 | 142.3 |
| Miami (FL) | North Carolina | -12.2 | 155.5 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Prairie View | -11.6 | 136.2 |
| Morgan State | Norfolk State | -10.6 | 146.4 |
Bets:
Baylor/TCU Over 148.5
Norfolk State -4.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Florida A&M | 4.9 | 126.2 |
| Alabama State | Bethune-Cookman | -19.2 | 122.4 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Texas Southern | 19.4 | 136.2 |
| Colorado | UCLA | -7.3 | 146.4 |
| Coppin State | Howard | -3.1 | 113.9 |
| Delaware State | North Carolina Central | -11.3 | 139.4 |
| Maryland-Eastern Shore | South Carolina State | 20.2 | 117.0 |
| Mississippi | Missouri | 1.2 | 133.3 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Prairie View | -1.0 | 131.0 |
| Morgan State | Norfolk State | -22.6 | 120.2 |
