College basketball best bets and projections
Yesterday, we turned in a profitable night with a 4-2 overall day in both men’s and women’s basketball, bringing us to a successful 189-141-1 (57%) on the season. Tuesday’s slate is pretty decent in terms of number of games, at least on the men’s side, while there are just a handful of women’s games so we’ll see if any of those games meet the threshold for a bet later in the day. Be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get those women’s bets as soon as I make them.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, February 6th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Air Force | San Diego State | -14.2 | 142.4 |
| Akron | Central Michigan | 7.3 | 138.7 |
| Ball State | Ohio | -4.5 | 147.7 |
| Baylor | Texas Tech | 8.0 | 156.0 |
| Boise State | Colorado State | 1.7 | 151.5 |
| Boston College | Florida State | 2.8 | 151.5 |
| Bowling Green State | Buffalo | 17.3 | 146.7 |
| Brigham Young | Oklahoma | 3.8 | 152.7 |
| Butler | Connecticut | -12.0 | 157.1 |
| Canisius | Niagara | -10.6 | 150.7 |
| Charlotte | South Florida | 0.2 | 140.4 |
| Clemson | North Carolina | -9.3 | 154.6 |
| Dayton | Saint Joseph’s | 5.8 | 148.9 |
| DePaul | St. John’s (NY) | -20.5 | 143.4 |
| Eastern Michigan | Toledo | -16.6 | 145.7 |
| Fordham | Virginia Commonwealth | -7.9 | 143.9 |
| Fresno State | San Jose State | 0.4 | 144.2 |
| George Washington | Rhode Island | 6.7 | 155.4 |
| Georgia Tech | Wake Forest | -9.1 | 152.3 |
| Houston | Oklahoma State | 18.8 | 136.2 |
| Indiana | Ohio State | -5.4 | 145.7 |
| Iowa State | Texas | -3.3 | 148.8 |
| Kent State | Western Michigan | 10.3 | 147.6 |
| Kentucky | Vanderbilt | 7.8 | 153.1 |
| Little Rock | Tennessee-Martin | 1.0 | 159.9 |
| Maryland | Rutgers | 8.9 | 130.6 |
| Miami (OH) | Northern Illinois | 8.6 | 150.5 |
| Michigan State | Minnesota | 2.7 | 142.4 |
| Mississippi | South Carolina | -8.4 | 143.6 |
| Nevada | Utah State | -5.9 | 151.5 |
| New Mexico | Wyoming | 13.2 | 157.0 |
| Pacific | Saint Mary’s (CA) | -22.8 | 136.3 |
Bets:
Central Michigan +14.5
Niagara -4.5
BYU +1.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Creighton | Xavier | 31.6 | 128.9 |
| Little Rock | Tennessee-Martin | -1.3 | 114.8 |
| Maryland | Rutgers | 7.8 | 150.6 |
| Michigan | Nebraska | 1.3 | 130.1 |
| Texas Tech | West Virginia | -20.8 | 130.0 |
