College basketball best bets and projections
We’re getting just enough college basketball action on these weekdays to whet the appetite a bit, but I think I can speak for all of us in saying I miss the opening weekend of March Madness, when it’s just a marathon of entertaining hoops action all day long. Nonetheless, the T Shoe Index has us covered on projections for each game, and I’ve been very happy with the performance of the model throughout the tournament so far, as demonstrated by the plethora of supportive shout outs on my X timeline.
We’ve cashed both women’s bets I’ve given out this week, so I’m definitely hoping to continue that momentum, as well as get involved on the men’s side as well.
Follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to get my women’s plays as soon as I make them and before the lines move in response.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for Thursday, March 28th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Arizona | Clemson | 7.9 | 157.1 |
| Connecticut | San Diego State | 12.1 | 139.3 |
| Iowa State | Illinois | 2.5 | 149.2 |
| North Carolina | Alabama | 4.0 | 166.9 |
Bets:
North Carolina/Alabama Under 173.5
Women’s
Coming soon.
