Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball on tap with 53-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
7 p.m. ET: UTEP at Kennesaw State (-3.5, 148.5)
UTEP (17-8) just saw their two game win streak come to an end, falling to Liberty 76-69 and failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. On the other hand, Kennesaw State (15-11) has dropped two of their last three and just came up short against Sam Houston 78-76 but managed to cover as 2.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Kennesaw State listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps have jumped on Kennesaw State laying short chalk at home, steaming the Owls up from -2.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Kennesaw State is receiving 60% of spread bets but a whopping 84% of spread dollars, indicating slight public support but also heavy sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.
Ken Pom has Kennesaw State winning by three points (75-72). As a result, savvy wiseguys looking to protect themselves in the event of a close game may prefer a moneyline play on the Owls (-175) instead of laying the points.
Kennesaw State has the better offensive rebound percentage (34% vs 24%) and limits their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (61st vs 219th). The Owls average 42 rebounds per game compared to 30 rebounds per game for the Miners.
Kennesaw State is 11-2 at home this season. UTEP is 4-4 on the road.
This is also a revenge spot for Kennesaw State, who lost to UTEP 73-71 on the road in late January.
8:30 p.m. ET: Tennessee Martin at Tennessee Tech (-2.5, 147.5)
Tennessee Martin (12-16) just saw their three-game win streak come to an end, falling to Tennessee State 86-75 and losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. Conversely, Tennessee Tech (13-14) has lost three of their last four and just fell to Southeast Missouri State 83-69, failing to cover as 6.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Tennessee Tech listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have pounced on Tennessee Tech laying short chalk at home, driving the Golden Eagles up from -1.5 to -2.5. Essentially, all movement and liability has been in favor of the home team. At DraftKings, Tennessee Tech is receiving 68% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy in their favor.
Ken Pom has Tennessee Tech winning by three points (75-72). Value-driven bettors looking to mitigate some risk may prefer a moneyline play on the home team at -130.
Tennessee Tech has the better effective field goal percentage (51% vs 47%), three-point shooting (36% vs 31%) and three-throw shooting (72% vs 70%). The Golden Eagles also take better care of the ball, ranking 211th in turnover percentage compared to 319th for Tennessee Martin.
Tennessee Tech has a notable “rest vs tired” advantage, having last played on February 15th compared to Tennessee Martin last playing on February 18th.
Tennessee Tech is 7-3 at home this season. Tennessee Martin is 5-11 on the road.
9 p.m. ET: Portland State at Idaho State (-2, 140.5)
Portland State (16-10) has won two in a row and just held off Northern Colorado 82-71, easily covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Idaho State (11-13) has dropped three of their last four and just fell to Montana State 74-69, failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Idaho State listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys have quietly laid the points with the home team, pushing Idaho State up from -1.5 to -2. At DraftKings, Idaho State is taking in 68% of spread bets but a hefty 89% of spread dollars. At Circa, Idaho State is receiving 60% of spread bets and 74% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp split in favor of the home chalk in one of the smallest, least heavily bet games of the night.
Ken Pom has Idaho State winning by one point (71-70). With this in mind, many pros have paid up and taken the Bengals on the moneyline (-130). At DraftKings, Idaho State is taking in 57% of moneyline bets and 69% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of respected money banking on the Bengals to earn a straight up win on their home court.
Idaho State has the better offensive efficiency (211th vs 258th), offensive rebound percentage (39% vs 34%) and free-throw shooting (73% vs 64%). Idaho State is also better at limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (41st vs 272nd).
The Bengals have fishy buy-low value as a favorite on a losing streak with a losing record against a sell-high opponent on a winning streak with a winning record.
Idaho State is 8-3 at home this season. Portland State is 5-8 on the road.
