Today we have a loaded College Basketball slate on tap with roughly 60 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
7 p.m. ET: Iona at Mount St. Mary’s (-1.5, 140)
Iona (9-13) has won four of their last five and just crushed Fairfield 87-64, covering as 5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Mount St. Mary’s (13-9) has won two straight and just dismissed Saint Peter’s 79-64, covering as 4-point road favorites.
This line opened at roughly a pick’em, with some shops opening Mount St. Mary’s a slight 1-point home favorite. Regardless of the opener, sharps have pounced on the home team, driving Mount St. Mary’s up from a pick’em/-1 to -1.5. At DraftKings, Mount St. Mary’s is receiving 65% of spread bets and 83% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor. This also happens to be one of the smallest, lowest bet games of the night. As a result, we can infer that these bet splits are driven mostly by wiseguys targeting the tiny matchup, not the public.
Ken Pom has Mount St. Mary’s winning by three points (70-67). He also has Mount St. Mary’s ranked higher (255th vs 278th). In an attempt to protect themselves from a tight game that may not cover the spread, sharps have specifically targeted Mount St. Mary’s to win straight up (-125), as the Mountaineers are taking in 74% of moneyline bets and 85% of moneyline dollars at DraftKings.
Mount St. Mary’s has the better offensive efficiency (297th vs 334th), effective field goal percentage (50% vs 46%), three-point shooting (33% vs 31%) and free-throw shooting (73% vs 69%).
Mount St. Mary’s is 6-3 at home. Iona is 3-6 on the road.
7 p.m. ET: Elon at Campbell (-1.5, 139)
Elon (15-8) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 71-60 win over Northeastern, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Campbell (12-11) has won five straight and just crushed Hofstra 75-52, easily winning outright as 2-point home dogs.
This line opened with Campbell listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Wiseguys have sided with the home team, driving Campbell up from -1 to -1.5. At DraftKings, Campbell is taking in 58% of spread bets and 62% of spread dollars, signaling a slight public lean but also respected sharp money. At Circa, Campbell is receiving 83% of spread bets and 90% of spread dollars, indicating heavy one-way support out in Vegas.
Ken Pom has Campbell winning by two points (68-66). As a result, Pros have looked for some added security by focusing on Campbell to win straight up (-125). At DraftKings, Campbell is receiving 66% of moneyline bets but a whopping 89% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split.
Campbell has the better defensive efficiency (114th vs 191st), three-point shooting (33% vs 31%) and free-throw shooting (77% vs 75%). Campbell takes better care of the ball, ranking 58th in turnover percentage vs 234th for Elon.
10 p.m. ET: San Diego at Pacific (-3.5, 145.5)
San Diego (4-20) has lost ten straight games and just fell to Loyola Marymount 78-62, failing to cover as 7.5-point home dogs. On the other hand, Pacific (7-18) has dropped five of their last six and just got crushed by Santa Clara 83-49, failing to cover as 17-point road dogs.
This line opened with Pacific listed as a 3-point home favorite. Wiseguys have faded San Diego and backed Pacific at home, pushing the Tigers up from -3 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Pacific is receiving 70% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy. This is also a late night matchup between two struggling teams, which means the line move and bet splits are likely to be coming from mostly respected bettors who have targeted the unpopular matchup.
Ken Pom has Pacific winning by two points (72-70). With this in mind, savvy bettors might prefer to play Pacific on the moneyline (-175) in order to gain some added security around a close game.
Pacific has the better offensive efficiency (282nd vs 328th), effective field goal percentage (47% vs 45%) and three-point shooting (30% vs 28th).
Pacific is 4-7 at home this season. San Diego is 0-8 on the road.
