Today we have a loaded midweek slate of College Basketball on tap with 54-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
7 p.m. ET: Radford (-2.5, 146.5) at Gardner Webb
Radford (17-12) has rotated wins and losses over their last eight games and just fell to Presbyterian 80-73, losing outright as 6.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Gardner Webb (10-17) has dropped five of their last six and just got crushed by High Point 90-67, failing to cover as 8-point home dogs.
This line opened with Radford listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. Wiseguys have jumped on Radford laying short road chalk, driving the Highlanders up from -1.5 to -2.5. At DraftKings, Radford is receiving 68% of spread bets and 76% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. This is also a tiny added/extra game, which means it’s one of the least heavily bet games of the night. As a result, this line move and bet split is largely driven by sharps who have targeted the game.
Ken Pom has Radford winning by three points (75-72). With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by playing Radford on the moneyline at -145. At DraftKings, Radford is receiving 65% of moneyline bets and 67% of moneyline dollars, a notable one-way discrepancy in favor of the Highlanders to earn a straight up road victory.
Radford has the better offensive efficiency (117th vs 215th), defense efficiency (235th vs 288th), three-point shooting (36% vs 34%) and free-throw shooting (75% vs 70%). Radford also does a better job at not turning it over (233rd vs 342nd) and also forcing turnovers (218th vs 331st).
11 p.m. ET: SMU (-3.5, 153.5) at California
SMU (20-7) has dropped two of their last three and just fell to Clemson 79-69, failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, California (12-15) has lost four straight and just came up short against Stanford 66-61 but managed to cover as 6.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with SMU listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. Sharps have pounced on the Mustangs laying short chalk, steaming SMU up from -2.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, SMU is taking in 82% of spread bets and 84% of spread dollars. At Circa, SMU is receiving 84% of spread bets and 82% of spread dollars. Both books are showing heavy one-way Pro and Joe support in favor of the Mustangs.
Ken Pom has SMU winning by six points (81-75). For those looking to follow the sharp SMU move but also willing to pay up for added protection in the event of a close game, a Mustangs moneyline play (-170) might be worth a look. At DraftKings, SMU is receiving 91% of moneyline bets and 92% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of sharp action playing the Mustangs to win straight up on the road.
SMU has the better offensive efficiency (26th vs 96th), defensive efficiency (78th vs 185th), effective field goal percentage (55% vs 48%), offensive rebound percentage (38% vs 35%) and three-point shooting (38% vs 32%). SMU also limits their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (47% vs 53%).
SMU is 11-5 in conference play. California is 5-11.
11 p.m. ET: San Francisco at Oregon State (-3.5, 142.5)
San Francisco (22-7) has won two straight and just brushed aside Pacific 71-58 but failed to cover as 15.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Oregon State (20-9) has won three in a row and just held off San Diego 83-73 but failed to cover as 11.5-point road favorites.
This line opened with Oregon State listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys have gotten down hard on the Beavers laying short home chalk, driving Oregon State up from -2.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Oregon State is receiving 65% of spread bets and 77% of spread dollars. At Circa, Oregon State is taking in 67% of spread bets but over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Beavers.
Ken Pom has Oregon State winning by two points (72-70). With this in mind, value driven bettors may prefer to mitigate some risk and play the Beavers on the moneyline (-165) instead of laying the points. At DraftKings, Oregon State is receiving 72% of moneyline bets and 76% of moneyline dollars, indicating one-way smart money in favor of the Beavers to earn a straight up victory on their home court.
Oregon State has the better offensive efficiency (47th vs 92nd), effective field goal percentage (55% vs 53%), offensive rebound percentage (37% vs 34%) and free-throw shooting (80% vs 71%).
Oregon State is 15-2 at home this season. San Francisco is 4-5 on the road. This is also a revenge spot for Oregon State, who lost to San Francisco 81-70 on the road in mid January.
