Today we have a massive midweek College Basketball slate on tap with over 50 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
7 p.m. ET: Cincinnati at UCF (-3, 144.5)
Cincinnati (12-9) has dropped four straight games and just fell to West Virginia 63-50, losing outright as 5.5-point home favorites. Similarly, UCF (13-8) has lost four of their last five games and just came up short against BYU 81-75, losing outright as 1.5-point home favorites.
This line opened with UCF listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the chalk with UCF, pushing the Knights up from -2.5 to -3. Several books are juicing up UCF -3 (-115) and a few others have inched up to -3.5. Essentially, all movement all liability has been on the home favorite. At DraftKings, UCF is receiving roughly 70% of both spread bets and dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in their favor.
Ken Pom has UCF winning by four points (73-69). He also has UCF ranked higher (56th vs 61st). In an attempt to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game, savvy bettors might prefer a moneyline play on UCF at -160 instead of laying the points.
UCF has the superior offensive efficiency (47th vs 165th), three-point shooting (35% vs 32%) and free-throw shooting (78% vs 66%). The Knights enjoy a one-day rest advantage, having last played on February 1st vs the Bearcats last playing on February 2nd.
UCF is 10-3 at home this season. Cincinnati is 3-5 on the road.
11 p.m. ET: Wake Forest at Stanford (-2.5, 139.5)
Wake Forest (16-6) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 76-74 win over Pittsburgh but failed to cover as 3-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Stanford (15-7) just saw their four-game win streak come to an end, falling to SMU 85-61 and failing to cover as 7.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Stanford listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have pounced on the Cardinal laying short chalk at home, steaming Stanford up from -1.5 to -2.5. At DraftKings, Stanford is receiving 66% of spread bets and 75% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor.
Ken Pom has Stanford winning by three points (70-67). As a result, wiseguys have zeroed in on a Stanford moneyline play (-145). At DraftKings, the Cardinal are taking in 64% of moneyline bets but a whopping 96% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of sharps banking on Stanford to earn a win on their home court.
Stanford has the far better offensive efficiency (64th vs 180th), offensive rebound percentage (33% vs 27%), three-point shooting (35% vs 29%) and free-throw shooting (78% vs 75%). Stanford also takes better care of the ball, ranking 44th in lowest turnover percentage compared to Wake Forest ranking 169th.
Stanford is 12-1 at home this season. Wake Forest is 3-4 on the road.
11 p.m. ET: NC State at California (-2.5, 137.5)
NC State (9-12) has dropped eight of their last nine games and just lost to Clemson 68-58, failing to cover as 5.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, California (11-11) has lost two in a row and just fell to Syracuse 75-66, losing outright as 5-point home favorites.
This line opened with California listed as a 2-point home favorite. Sharps have quietly laid the short chalk with the Golden Bears, driving California up from -2 to -2.5. Several shops are juicing up California -2.5 (-115) and others are approaching California -3. This signals one-way movement in favor of the Golden Bears at home.
Ken Pom has California winning by one point (71-70). With this in mind, Pros have specifically targeted the Golden Bears on the moneyline at -155. At DraftKings, California is receiving 71% of moneyline bets and a hefty 94% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy and further evidence of sharps playing California to earn a victory.
California has the better offensive efficiency (90th vs 125th), offensive rebound percentage (75% vs 71%) and free-throw percentage (75% vs 71%).
The Golden Bears are 9-4 at home this season. The Wolfpack are 0-5 on the road.
