This Week’s College Football Betting Trends:
The following college football betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 4. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top college football betting trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
-Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 47-34 ATS (58%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (-14.5 at New Mexico)
-When both teams are ranked but the home team has been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 54-15 SU and 47-19-3 ATS (71.2%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): NEBRASKA (-8.5 vs. Illinois)
(385) VANDERBILT at (386) MISSOURI
*Under the total is 6-0 in the last six of the Vandy-Mizzou series in Columbia
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 53.5)
Huge Week-To-Week Point Spread Movement
CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 94-63 ATS (59.9%).
System Match (PLAY ALL): GEORGIA TECH (+10.5 at Louisville), GEORGIA SOUTHERN (+36 at Ole Miss)
* VIRGINIA TECH is 5-19 (20.8%) ATS in the last 24 games following up a SU win
System Match: FADE VIRGINIA TECH (-3.5 vs. Rutgers)
* NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 5-16-1 (23.8%) ATS in the last 22 home games
System Match: FADE NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-14 vs. Buffalo)
#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections: PENN STATE -49 vs. Kent State (+12.7 difference)
Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems only include games matching two FBS opponents against one another.
Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.
CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OHIO STATE, INDIANA, WEST VIRGINIA, ARMY, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, UTAH STATE, BUFFALO, RUTGERS, USC, NOTRE DAME, LSU, TCU, NORTH TEXAS, UCONN, LOUISIANA TECH, SAM HOUSTON STATE, SOUTH CAROLINA, TENNESSEE, OLE MISS, BOSTON COLLEGE, OREGON STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%; in 2023, it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OHIO STATE, INDIANA, ARMY, TULANE, KENTUCKY, UTAH STATE, USC, NOTRE DAME, MEMPHIS, DUKE, MISSOURI, TCU, MIAMI (FL), TOLEDO, SOUTH CAROLINA, TENNESSEE, OLE MISS, TEXAS, OREGON STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023 but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TULANE, FLORIDA, VIRGINIA, UTAH STATE, USC, UTAH, DUKE, TCU, IOWA, TENNESSEE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA, HOUSTON, JAMES MADISON, NC STATE, SOUTHERN MISS, BUFFALO, GEORGIA TECH, RUTGERS, ARKANSAS, UTEP, EAST CAROLINA, NORTHWESTERN, BOWLING GREEN
CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NC STATE, GEORGIA TECH, RUTGERS, ARKANSAS, CALIFORNIA
CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Thursday: APPALACHIAN STATE
Friday: SYRACUSE, NEBRASKA, WASHINGTON STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in a FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SYRACUSE, OHIO STATE, NC STATE, INDIANA, ARMY, UTAH STATE, SOUTHERN MISS, PENN STATE, LSU, NOTRE DAME, GEORGIA TECH, DUKE, MISSOURI, SAM HOUSTON STATE, NORTH TEXAS, SOUTH CAROLINA, OLE MISS, TEXAS, OREGON STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): STANFORD-SYRACUSE, FLORIDA-MISSISSIPPI STATE, SOUTHERN MISS-JAX STATE, GA TECH-LOUISVILLE, TULSA-LA TECH, FRESNO STATE-NEW MEXICO
CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): RICE-ARMY, BUFFALO-NORTHERN ILLINOIS, RUTGERS-VA TECH, CALIFORNIA-FLORIDA STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): NEBRASKA-ILLINOIS, OHIO-KENTUCKY, RUTGERS-VA TECH, MIAMI (OH)-NOTRE DAME, NORTHWESTERN-WASHINGTON, NEW MEXICO STATE-SAM HOUSTON STATE
College Football Revenge Handicapping
The following college football betting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best & worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.
Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)
Best
* FRESNO ST is 12-12 SU and 15-7 ATS (68%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (-14.5 at New Mexico)
* C MICHIGAN is 16-11 SU and 15-11 ATS (57.7%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-6.5 vs Ball State)
* NAVY is 13-23 SU and 23-13 ATS (63.9%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY NAVY (+10 vs Memphis)
College Football Revenge Systems
Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 47-34 ATS (58%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (-14.5 at New Mexico)
Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 103-116 ATS (47%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): FRESNO ST (-14.5 at New Mexico)
Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 615-543 ATS (53.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ILLINOIS, HOUSTON, GEORGIA TECH, IOWA, VIRGINIA TECH, FRESNO STATE, ARKANSAS, SMU, VANDERBILT, NAVY, SAM HOUSTON STATE
Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 206-161 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY ALL): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-6.5 vs. Ball St), FRESNO STATE (-14.5 at New Mexico)
College Football Systems Based Upon AP Poll Rankings
The following college football betting trend systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll
CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 172-85 SU and 146-103-8 ATS (58.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEBRASKA (-8.5 vs. Illinois), MICHIGAN (+5.5 vs. USC), OKLAHOMA (+7 vs. Tennessee), OKLAHOMA STATE (-3 vs. Utah)
Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 104-18 SU and 76-42-4 ATS (64.4%).
System Match (PLAY): NEBRASKA (-8.5 vs. Illinois)
Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 54-15 SU and 47-19-3 ATS (71.2%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): NEBRASKA (-8.5 vs. Illinois)
CFB AP Poll Rankings System #4
In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 37-15 (71.2%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 22-7 (75.9%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER if spread becomes double-digits): Illinois-Nebraska (o/u at 43)
Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems
Huge week-to-week point spread movement
CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 94-63 ATS (59.9%).
System Match (PLAY ALL): GEORGIA TECH (+10.5 at Louisville), GEORGIA SOUTHERN (+36 at Ole Miss)
Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game which was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next contest, going just 130-175-1 ATS (42.6%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA (+7.5 at App State), NOTRE DAME (-28 vs Miami (OH)), PURDUE (+5.5 at Oregon State)
Prolific offensive performances don’t last
FBS teams that gain 735 or more yards offensively in their prior game have gone just 29-44 ATS (39.7%) in the follow up contest since 2012.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIAMI (FL) (-16.5 at USF), TENNESSEE (-7 at Oklahoma)
Not taking advantage enough of turnovers can be a red flag
CFB FBS teams that benefitted from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 36-53 ATS (40.4%) in their next contest since 2012.
System Match (FADE): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+2.5 at UConn)
Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances
Over the course of the last decade, CFB teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 137-100 ATS (57.8%).
System Match (PLAY ALL): NOTRE DAME (-28 vs Miami (OH)), GEORGIA TECH (+10.5 at Louisville), MIAMI (FL) (-16.5 at USF), TENNESSEE (-7 at Oklahoma)
This Week’s College Football Strength Rating
The following college football betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SMU +3 (+9.2)
2. MICHIGAN +5.5 (+5.9)
3. OKLAHOMA STATE +2.5 (+5.5)
4(tie). TULSA +3.5 (+5.0)
NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 (+5.0)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS -44.5 (+3.9)
2. MEMPHIS -9 (+3.6)
3. AUBURN -3.5 (+3.3)
4(tie). PENN STATE -49 (+3.2)
KENTUCKY -20 (+3.2)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA STATE +2.5 (+5.3)
2(tie). COASTAL CAROLINA +3 (+4.6)
MICHIGAN +5.5 (+4.6)
4. UCLA +24 (+4.4)
5. BUFFALO +14 (+4.0)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PENN STATE -49 (+12.7)
2(tie). FLORIDA STATE -2.5 (+4.6)
KANSAS STATE -7 (+4.6)
4. TEXAS -44.5 (+4.5)
5(tie). NEBRASKA -8.5 (+3.4)
OREGON STATE -5.5 (+3.4)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. RUTGERS-VA TECH OVER 44.5 (+5.5)
2. KANSAS-WVU OVER 56 (+3.4)
3. IOWA-MINNESOTA OVER 35.5 (+3.3)
4. PURDUE-OREGON STATE OVER 50 (+2.8)
5. ILLINOIS-NEBRASKA OVER 43 (+2.5)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. FRESNO STATE-NEW MEXICO UNDER 61.5 (-7.6)
2. TOLEDO-WESTERN KENTUCKY UNDER 63 (-6.6)
3. SOUTHERN MISS-JACKSONVILLE STATE UNDER 60.5 (-5.0)
4. SAN JOSE STATE-WASHINGTON STATE UNDER 55.5 (-4.5)
5. TULANE-LA LAFAYETTE UNDER 54.5 (-4.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SMU +3 (+7.5)
2. ARKANSAS STATE +22 (+7.1)
3. TULSA +3.5 (+6.2)
4. MICHIGAN +5.5 (+5.5)
5. NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 (+5.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS -44.5 (+4.8)
2. TULANE -3 (+4.7)
3. PENN STATE -49 (+4.3)
4(tie). MIAMI (FL) -16.5 (+4.2)
KENTUCKY -20 (+4.2)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. RUTGERS-VA TECH OVER 44.5 (+8.2)
2. TENNESSEE-OKLAHOMA OVER 57.5 (+6.7)
3. KANSAS STATE-BYU OVER 48 (+4.3)
4(tie). ILLINOIS-NEBRASKA OVER 43 (+4.1)
UTEP-COLORADO STATE OVER 50 (+4.1)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. KENT STATE-PENN STATE UNDER 57 (-7.7)
2. TOLEDO-WESTERN KENTUCKY UNDER 63 (-6.8)
3. FRESNO STATE-NEW MEXICO UNDER 61.5 (-5.4)
4. SOUTHERN MISS-JACKSONVILLE STATE UNDER 60.5 (-5.1)
5. AKRON-SOUTH CAROLINA UNDER 46.5 (-4.4)
Top Team Situational College Football Betting Trends
These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
* ARIZONA STATE is 24-13-1 (64.9%) ATS as Underdog since 2018
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA STATE (+3 at Texas Tech)
* ARKANSAS is 1-12 (7.7%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+3.5 at Auburn)
* BALL STATE is 31-16 (66%) Under the total over last four seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Ball St-CMU (o/u at 53)
* BOISE STATE is on a 11-2 (84.6%) ATS run following a SU loss
System Match: PLAY BOISE STATE (-41.5 vs Portland State)
* BOWLING GREEN is 14-30 (31.8%) ATS as Underdog since 2019
* BOWLING GREEN is 6-12 (33.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2019
Systems Match: FADE BOWLING GREEN (+23 at Texas A&M)
* CALIFORNIA is 25-13 (65.8%) ATS as Underdog since 2018
System Match: PLAY CALIFORNIA (+2.5 at Florida State)
* DUKE is 31-14 (68.9%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2014
System Match: PLAY DUKE (-14.5 at MTSU)
* FLA ATLANTIC is 4-15 (21.1%) ATS in the last 19 games following a SU win
System Match: FADE FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+2.5 at UConn)
* FLORIDA STATE is 8-18 (30.8%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (-2.5 vs California)
* FRESNO STATE is 26-15-1 (63.4%) Under the total since 2021
* FRESNO STATE is 18-9 (66.7%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (-14.5 at New Mexico), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 61.5)
* HAWAII is 9-25 (27.3%) ATS as Favorite since 2015
System Match: FADE HAWAII (-8.5 vs. UNI)
* IOWA is 42-23 (64.6%) Under the total in last 65 games
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Iowa-Minnesota (o/u at 35.5)
* KANSAS is 32-18 (64%) Over the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY OVER in Kansas-WVU (o/u at 56)
* KANSAS STATE is 41-23-2 (64.1%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-7 at BYU)
* KENT STATE is 6-18 (25%) ATS in the last 24 games as an Underdog
System Match: FADE KENT ST (+49 at Penn State)
* LOUISIANA TECH is 32-16-1 (66.7%) Over the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY OVER in Tulsa-LA Tech (o/u at 57)
* LSU is 22-8 (73.3%) Over the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in UCLA-LSU (o/u at 56.5)
* MARYLAND is 17-6 (73.9%) ATS in the last 23 Non-Conference games
System Match: PLAY MARYLAND (-19.5 vs. Villanova)
* MIAMI (OH) is on a 30-15 (66.7%) Under the total run over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Miami (OH)-Notre Dame (o/u at 44)
* MICHIGAN is 29-16-1 (64.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 16-5 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (+5.5 vs. USC)
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 25-15 (62.5%) UNDER the total since 2021
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 14-9 (60.9%) ATS at Home since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE (+6 vs. Florida), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 58.5)
* NEBRASKA is 4-12-1 (25%) ATS at Home in the last 17
System Match: FADE NEBRASKA (-8.5 vs. Illinois)
* NEW MEXICO is 17-37 (31.5%) ATS in Conference games since 2017
System Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (+14.5 vs Fresno State)
* NEW MEXICO STATE is 27-16 (62.8%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+16.5 at Sam Houston State)
* NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 5-16-1 (23.8%) ATS in the last 22 home games
System Match: FADE NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-14 vs Buffalo)
* OREGON STATE is 25-7 (78.1%) ATS in home games over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-5.5 vs. Purdue)
* PENN STATE is 30-12 (71.4%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2019
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (-49 vs Kent State)
* PITTSBURGH is 35-17 (67.3%) Over the total since 2020
System Match: PLAY OVER in Youngstown State-Pitt (o/u at 59.5)
* PURDUE is 16-10 (61.5%) ATS as Underdog since 2020
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+5.5 at Oregon State)
* RUTGERS has gone 12-3 (80%) ATS in last 15 non-conference games
System Match: PLAY RUTGERS (+3.5 at VA Tech)
* S ALABAMA is 15-34 (30.6%) ATS coming off SU win since 2014
System Match: FADE SOUTH ALABAMA (+8 at App State)
* SOUTH CAROLINA is 11-5 (68.8%) ATS as a favorite in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA (-28.5 vs. Akron)
* TEMPLE is 14-10 (58.3%) ATS coming off SU loss since 2020
System Match: PLAY TEMPLE (+6 vs. Utah State)
* TEXAS A&M is 17-7 (70.8%) ATS in non-conference games since 2018
System Match: PLAY TEXAS A&M (-23 vs. Bowling Green)
* TULANE is 41-21 (66.1%) ATS as favorite since 2014
System Match: PLAY TULANE (-3 at Louisiana)
* TULSA is 23-8-1 (74.2%) ATS in road/neutral games over last four seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+3.5 at LA Tech)
* TX-SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 (22.2%) ATS at home since 2021
System Match: FADE UTSA (-35.5 vs Houston Christian)
* UCLA is 8-18 (30.8%) ATS in non-conference games since 2015
System Match: FADE UCLA (+24 at LSU)
* VIRGINIA TECH is 5-19 (20.8%) ATS in the last 24 games following up a SU win
System Match: FADE VIRGINIA TECH (-3.5 vs. Rutgers)
* WASHINGTON is just 2-7 (22.2%) ATS in the last nine games following a SU loss
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-10.5 vs. Northwestern)
* W KENTUCKY is 11-21 (34.4%) ATS as favorite since 2019
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (*if they become a favorite vs Toledo, +2.5 currently)
* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 16-8 ATS (66.7%) at home in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (-2.5 vs. Kansas)
Top Head-to-Head Series College Football Betting Trends
These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
Week 4
2024-09-21 (311) HOUSTON at (312) CINCINNATI
*CINCINNATI is on a 7-1-1 ATS run in L9 games vs Houston
System Match: PLAY CINCINNATI (-5 vs Houston)
(327) KANSAS at (328) WEST VIRGINIA
*KANSAS is on a 7-1-2 ATS run vs. West Virginia
System Match: PLAY KANSAS (+2.5 at WVU)
(341) BALL STATE at (342) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
*BALL STATE has won its last eight games ATS at Central Michigan
System Match: PLAY BALL STATE (+6.5 at CMU)
(365) ARKANSAS at (366) AUBURN
*Over the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of Arkansas-Auburn set
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 58)
(369) TCU at (370) SMU
*Road teams are on an 8-1 ATS run in SMU-TCU rivalry
System Match: PLAY TCU (-2.5 at SMU) (385) VANDERBILT at (386) MISSOURI
*Under the total is 6-0 in the last six of Vandy-Mizzou series in Columbia
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 53.5)
For more College Football Week 4 predictions, visit the College Football Week 4 Hub at VSiN.com.