The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season features the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the New York Jets at Acrisure Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 7 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
How To Jets vs. Steelers
When: Sunday, October 20th at 8:20 pm ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Channel: NBC/Peacock
Jets vs. Steelers Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, October 18th. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Jets -130, Steelers +110
Spread: Jets -1.5 (-110), Steelers +1.5 (-110)
Total: Over 38.5 (-112), Under 38.5 (-108)
Jets vs. Steelers Analysis
The Jets traded a conditional third-round pick for star wide receiver Davante Adams on Tuesday. The move means that Aaron Rodgers is reunited with his favorite wideout from Green Bay, and it shows that New York is still very much committed to competing this season. But is Adams what the Jets need to turn things around after a 2-4 start? Don’t get me wrong, there’s no world in which acquiring Adams makes an offense worse. He’s one of the best receivers on the planet, and he and Garrett Wilson could be the best pass-catching duo in football. But New York’s offensive line is still shaky, the defense hasn’t been as good as expected and penalties have plagued the team on both sides of the ball all season. The Jets also would have beaten the Bills last week if not for Greg Zuerlein missing two very makable kicks. Adams won’t solve all of those issues.
New York did look a lot better offensively last week, as Todd Downing had a much better command of calling plays than Nathaniel Hackett did. So, with Downing now having another weapon to add into the mix, perhaps the Jets will significantly improve their 21st-ranked offense in EPA per play (-0.024). However, it needs to happen very fast. New York can’t afford to move to 2-5, making this meeting with Pittsburgh a must-win game. And I just don’t love the matchup for the Jets.
This season, the Steelers are fifth in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.101). This is one of the best defensive teams in the league, and the group is especially strong when it comes to stopping the run. Well, if the Jets can’t get Breece Hall and Braelon Allen going, that will then make things very difficult on Rodgers and the passing game. New York will undoubtedly be a much better throwing team moving forward, but it’ll be harder for the Jets to throw if they’re constantly in obvious passing situations. The offensive line just hasn’t been good enough for that, which is why Rodgers has been taking a beating in recent weeks.
The Steelers could also be getting a jolt of their own on offense. Pittsburgh appears ready to make the move to Russell Wilson under center. Justin Fields is one of the best running quarterbacks in the league, but he makes a few too many mistakes and leaves a lot of passing yards on the table. Mike Tomlin is hoping that Wilson can get the passing game going. That probably won’t happen in a big way against this Jets defense, but he’s capable of doing just enough to lead his team to a home win.
Pittsburgh also happens to be 73-55 straight-up in games with lines of +3 to -3 under Tomlin, and the team is also 34-15 SU in games against teams with winning percentages of 25.0% to 40.0% with him on the sidelines. Tomlin is simply very good at winning the games he’s supposed to win. And while the Steelers are small underdogs in this one, I’d consider this one of those games. If all of that isn’t enough, how about the fact that Pittsburgh is 103-44 SU at home under Tomlin?
Jets vs. Steelers Player Props
Najee Harris Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
It can be frustrating watching Harris run the football. He just lacks explosiveness in a major way, and it’s honestly surprising considering how good he looked in college. But Harris has still rushed for at least 55 yards in four of the six games he has played this year, and he’s coming off a 106-yard performance against the Raiders last week. Also, for as good as New York’s defense can be, the team is just 20th i the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.044). You can run on this Jets defense, and we saw that last week. Even with James Cook out, Bills running backs rushed 24 times for 131 yards.
Of course, Jaylen Warren is going to be a factor in this one. The Steelers are going to want to get him his touches, as he’s just electric with the ball in his hands. But there will still be a big role for Harris here. And I can’t see him going Under this mark if he handles 14 or 15 carries.
Jets vs. Steelers Pick
I won’t be jumping on anything in this game. I thought about the Under, but the number is a little too low for me. And while I have a slight lean on the Steelers, I don’t like them enough to actually put anything on it. However, Pittsburgh is where I’d suggest going if you’re desperate for action here. Even with a healthy Adams in the fold, I don’t see the Jets being able to do enough offensively to win this game on the road. Pittsburgh’s defense is too good, and this is a tough stadium to play.
Lean: Steelers ML (+112)
