Home NFL NFL Next Head Coach Odds

    NFL Next Head Coach Odds

    0

    Today bettors have a loaded Friday slate to choose from, including 9 NBA games, 3 NHL games and 12 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:30 p.m. ET.

    I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

    In the meantime, yesterday another NFL head coach was let go, David Culley of the Texans. There are now eight coaching vacancies that need to be filled this offseason. Right on cue, oddsmakers have released "next coach odds" for several teams. As bettors, this opens up a new prop market that we can use to supplement and build our bankroll.

    Let's dive into the numbers, courtesy of BetMGM. 

     

    Chicago Bears

    The Bears fired Matt Nagy, who went 34-31 in four seasons but regressed each year, leading to a 6-11 campaign in 2021. Brian Flores, formerly of the Dolphins, is the favorite to take over at  160. Flores prides himself on defense, which goes a long way in Chicago, and has experience working with a young quarterback (Tua), which could bode well for Justin Fields. Flores is receiving 21.3% of tickets and 17.6% of money. Keep an eye on Bills defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier. Frazier is only receiving 8.5% of tickets but 33.2% of money, which signals sneaky big bets in his favor. 

    Brian Flores  160

    Leslie Frazier  500

    Brian Daboll  600

    Jim Harbaugh  700

    Doug Pederson  800

    Bryon Leftwich  1000

    Todd Bowles  1000

     

    Minnesota Vikings

    The Vikings parted ways with Mike Zimmer, who went 72-56 but finished with losing records the past two seasons. Eric Bienemy, currently offensive coordinator of the Chiefs, is the favorite at  300. Bienemy is receiving 17.4% of tickets but only 8% of money. If you're looking for a flier, consider former Eagles head coach Doug Pederson ( 900). Pederson is receiving 47.8% of tickets and a whopping 75.1% of money, a massive bet vs dollar discrepancy. 

    Eric Bienemy  300

    Brian Daboll  400

    Brian Flores 800

    Andrew Patterson  800

    Doug Pederson  900

    Kellen Moore  900

     

    Miami Dolphins

    Miami fired Brian Flores despite the fact that he went a respectable 24-25, including 19-14 over the past two seasons. Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll ( 300) is the favorite to take over. Daboll is well known in the AFC, having also been a longtime Patriots coach. Daboll is receiving 8.3% of bets but a massive 45.6% of money, signaling heavy sharp wagers in his favor. Former Colts coach Jim Caldwell ( 3000) is a longshot but he is receiving 16.7% of bets and 25.1% of money, the second largest dollar share. Jim Harbaugh ( 1400) is receiving 25% of bets but only 3.6% of money, indicating mostly casual small wagers. 

    Brian Daboll 300

    Eric Bienemy  500

    Doug Pederson  550

    Kellen Moore  600

    Bryon Leftwich  800

    Todd Bowles  800

    Nathaniel Hackett  800

     

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    The Jaguars fired Urban Meyer, who went a putrid 2-11 and got fired in season. Former Texans head coach Bill O'Brien ( 200) is the favorite to take the reins. O'Brien is receiving 13.6% of bets and 11.5% of money. Bucs offensive coordinator Bryon Leftwich ( 300) is taking in 50% of bets and 51% of money, signaling big support in his favor. It would be a homecoming for Leftwich, who played four seasons in Jacksonville. Doug Pederson is receiving 18.2% of bets but only 5.6% of money, indicating casual support. 

    Bill O'Brien  200

    Byron Leftwich  300

    Jim Caldwell  600

    Darrell Bevell  600

    Doug Pederson  700

    Kellen Moore  1000

     

    New York Giants

    The Giants are looking for a new coach and general manager. Joe Judge was let go after going 10-23 in two seasons. Brian Daboll is the favorite at  350. Daboll is receiving 30.8% of bets but a heavy 70.1% of dollars, indicating big sharp action in his favor. Brian Flores ( 500) is receiving 30.8% of bets but only 15.6% of dollars, indicating small wager support. Jim Harbaugh ( 700) is also a public play, receiving 15.4% of bets but only 5% of money. The Giants have two early first round picks. If they target a quarterback to energize the rebuild, an offensive minded coach like Daboll makes sense. 

    Brian Daboll  350

    Doig Pederson  400

    Brian Flores  500

    Eric Bienemy  600

    Jim Harbaugh  700

    Bryan Leftwich  700

    Josh McDaniels  800